Wrf storm tracks. I would happy to help.

Wrf storm tracks It has models from the NHC, as well as others, and includes some global model ensembles. g. Dec 24, 2021 · In order to obtain reasonable optimal combination of schemes of WRF model, three severe cyclonic cases over Bay of Bengal (Nargis-2008; Titli-2018 and Fani-2019) are considered in this study. This particular distance formula was defined in the study of Froude et al. Science and Storm Chasing. Figures 2 c, 2 f, 2 i, and 2 l show composite maps of model transient SSTC snapshots at an interval of 3 hr during a specific period, marked by the black boxes in Figures 2 b, 2 e, 2 h, and 2 k. 3 is configured in the present study to understand the impact of microphysical parameterization schemes on the track and intensity of extremely severe cyclonic storm (ESCS) “Fani” that occurred during 26 April to 4 May 2019 in the Bay of Bengal. The relationship between simulations of typhoon track and cumulus schemes can be case dependent. The initial and boundary conditions for sensitivity experiments are drawn from Sep 1, 2024 · We assessed the ability of each WRF configuration to capture the extremely active 2020 TC season in the NATL basin by computing several metrics: number of TCs by intensity category (tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes) based on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale, spatial pattern of the track density, track duration, track agreement by The Weather and Research Forecast Model (WRF), which is a sister model to the Hurricane Weather and Research Forecast Model (HWRF), is run in the FOX 13 Weather Center four times daily on a high-speed cluster of computers. 7 for this typhoon, which took U-turn while its travel. 2020 Easter Sunday Storm; 7. However, the IMDAA data have certain limitations in predicting the tracks due to inadequate representation of the large-scale circulations, necessitating improvement. (2021). track_level: the pressure level (in Pa) where the vortex is tracked. CAPE/CIN 4KM Hurricane WRF NCAR. The simulated tracks for cyclone Vardah from the first cycling time (initialized at 12 UTC on 2016-12-06) were very far from the observed tracks. Track the real-time movement of storm chasers as they brave the elements and capture breathtaking visuals of lightning illuminating the sky. There is no clear threshold value for SRH when forecasting supercells, since the formation of supercells appears to be related more strongly to the deeper Oct 12, 2022 · Abstract. NCL Graphics: WRF storm tracks This suite of examples uses an older and deprecated method of plotting WRF data. Hurricane Tracking and Hurricane coverage from MyFoxHurricane. 537 538 To further illustrate the Weathernerds provides weather data in a flexible, practical interface. , three-dimensional Nov 14, 2006 · Hi fellow chasers, May be some of you are bored from my commercial posts here, so now I have freeware offer: WRF for Windows. Jan 1, 2019 · Fig. , J. Everything you need to monitor the tropics in one place. Improving the simulation of such TCs will not only improve the forecasting of intense TCs but will also be essential in understanding the potential sensitivity of future intense TCs with climate change After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. 5 to Fig. The highest storm surge inundated areas in downtown Tampa and Tarpon WHOI Independent Study Award: Southern Ocean eddies and atmospheric storm tracks (2019-2021) The goal of the project is to examine the impacts of oceanic fronts, mesoscale eddies, and sea ice distribution on simulation and prediction of the extratropical storm track in the Southern Ocean. The code is based on an algorithm developed by Frederic Vitart when he was a graduate student at GFDL. 2020 January Cold Blast; Plotting Hurricane Track and Intensity Map View GFS weather model forecast map image for Precipitation Type, Rate in Continental US on pivotalweather. 3(a)–(d) show the best-observed track, modeled tracks, and their root-mean-squared errors (RMSE) for Irene using both WRF (Fig. Atmospheric component of the HWRF model was coupled to the Princeton Ocean Model (POM) developed by GFDL/URI using a sophisticated coupler developed at NCEP for providing accurate representation of air-sea interactions. May 16, 2014 · These updraft storm tracks are superimposed on an azimuthal-average of the 0–8 km vertical average of the radial wind component through time. . Includes exclusive satellite and radar coverage of Florida, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean. The May case was chosen to represent a Great Plains Jan 1, 2019 · Using a grid spacing of 12 km, coupling an ocean model to WRF affected the storm track (with increased sensitivity to the cumulus scheme selected) and translational speed, but had very little effect on the rainfall rate or intensity of the storm. The track variations in the WRF-OML are due to variations in the simulated mixed layer, which induce the differences in the simulated SST cold wakes in Best track observations are also included; as well as the track from the Global Forecasting System (GFS) in (a), shown in red The simulated track paths, the SLP along the tracks, and the MWS for the different cumulus and microphysics schemes, for the ensemble with SST forcing are presented from Fig. This code was designed to detect and track tropical cyclones in global climate models (GCMs) using data that is typically archived by GCMs. Using the WRF model to study the power and tracks of cyclone Jal, Chandrasekar and Balaji (2012) found that intensity was very sensitive to the convective scheme. gsn_add_polyline and gsn_add_polymarker are used to draw the markers and lines for the storm tracks, and gsn_text is used to label each position. Average PAGASA track forecast errors for Tokage were 211, 276, and 546 km at 24, 48, and 72 h, and the bulk of these errors can be attributed to TC track change study, and discusses the future directions for improvement of TC track forecast. exe) or idealized data (ideal. o Cover the storm track o Placement of the nests: may use fixed nests or storm-following nests o For fixed nests, process data for all domains o For storm-following nests, only process data for the coarse domain • May need to run program ungrib multiple times for data to use as initial conditions, boundary conditions, and SST Apr 3, 2023 · The observed TC positions and intensities come from the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS, Knapp et al. The real-time guidance system generates an individual page for each active storm in the North Atlantic, Northeast Pacific, North Central Pacific, Northwest Pacific, North Indian Ocean, South Indian Ocean, and South Pacific basins (this page may not provide any information on storms in the Mediterranean or South Jul 17, 2013 · Plotting Storm Tracks - Method 1: As stated, this method is a bit more complicated and requires more effort. 8 ∘ means the analog rainfall prediction is not as sensitive to TC track changes as the WRF model forecast rainfall. This option may help with the case when the storm is still too weak to be tracked by the algorithm. This Week. Sep 4, 2024 · This parameter can be used to center the telescoped nests so that all nests are moved together with the storm. Stay informed with up-to-the-minute data on current temperatures, wind speeds , and wind directions, while also monitoring highs and lows for the day. The WRF model offers a number of physical parameterization schemes and needs to be customized by users. The mesoscale hurricane models HAFS, HWRF, and GFDL are run on tropical disturbances and storms. Weather for the West Virginia and Ohio area including Wheeling, West Virginia, Steubenville, Ohio, Belmont County Ohio, Marshall County, West Virginia, Wetzel County West Virginia, Wood County, West Virginia, Jefferson County Ohio. o Cover the storm track o Placement of the nests: may use fixed nests or storm-following nests o For fixed nests, process data for all domains o For storm-following nests, only process data for the coarse domain • May need to run program ungrib multiple times for data to use as initial conditions, boundary conditions, and SST US Dept of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Duluth, MN 5027 Miller Trunk Highway Duluth, MN 55811-1442 ;***** ; Plot storm stracks from wrfout files. Nov 30, 2020 · The track location is derived from the WRF hindcast results, where the track center is defined by 536 locating the minimum atmospheric pressure at each time step. WRF 72-Hour Forecasts (graphics) Vietnam Real-time Air Quality. We recommend that you visit the more up-to-date WRF-ARW Online Tutorial for examples of using NCL to plot WRF-ARW data. Before we get started there is one major caveat regarding this method. 3(b) and (d)). The previous example for a Storm object illustrated how to retrieve a single storm and make a plot of its observed track. Retrieve Michael's data in different data formats: storm. 2016; 2017). 9 (a) and (b). Mar 31, 2025 · The Research Applications Laboratory (RAL) Overview of Current Active Storms. Dec 1, 2022 · This research is about the first investigation of the capability of global WRF model on TC track forecast on weather scale in high resolution of 10 km. exe), a program allowing one-way nesting for domains run separately (ndown. A storm surge of up to 11 feet damaged and destroyed a significant amount of the structures along coastal locations from Pasco county south through southwest Florida. 2019 Memorial Day Heat Wave; 8. Advanced weather & chasing For those of you interested in model forecasts of Texas and Oklahoma we are running an experimental 10 km Jan 26, 2012 · The simulation tracks by the coarse domain and the fine domain of the WRF model and the best track as estimated by JTWC are provided in Fig. The track forecast errors at 24, 48, 72, and 96 h decreased from 157, 315, 459, and 990 km in CNTL simulation to 77, 120, 45, and 129 km in the cold start run. This study evaluated several tropical cyclone center identification methods in a high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model Jan 13, 2025 · It is evident from the statistical analysis that the performance of the model is good in forecasting storm structure, intensity and rainfall. as a geodesic measure that avoids the relative biases when dealing with projections, and was likewise used to calculate the DPEs of the WRF–ARW model Everything you need to monitor in one place. " Last I The NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory serves the nation by working to improve the lead time and accuracy of severe weather warnings and forecasts in order to save lives and reduce property damage. - sunsanxia/NCL-Scripts-for-WRF Jul 11, 2005 · WRF-Hydro is a community-based, supported coupling drive “potential” large changes in storm tracks, atmospheric water vapor fluxes and regional moisture Mar 26, 2018 · The model also reproduces the storm tracks and their intensity quite well, as compared to the best track observations provided by the JMA. This article investigates combining a WRF-ADCIRC ensemble with track clustering to evaluate how uncertainties in tropical cyclone–induced storm tide (surge 1 tide) predictions vary in space and time and to explore whether this method can help elucidate inundation hazard scenarios. Introduction Write better code with AI Security. Contribute to mostly-harmless-earth/ncl development by creating an account on GitHub. Jan 18, 2012 · Re: storm,-track code for wrfoutput This message : [ Message body ] [ More options ] Related messages : [ Next message ] [ Previous message ] [ In reply to ] Jul 2, 2004 · I just bought Tim Vasquez's Red Book, and in the section on models, I read the following: "[The WRF] will replace the RUC in 2007 or 2008, running as the WRF Rapid Refresh. The sub-center refers to a center that was split or induced from the original tropical cyclone circulation center. In this study, we used the results of four WRF simulations to perform 20 track ensemble forecasts of storm surges. that the perturbed typhoon track simulation can increase the possibility of capturing the peak time of the storm surge. Advanced section for weather geeks only. to_dict storm. Find and fix vulnerabilities Jun 1, 2021 · The selected track similarity radius of 1. 4KM-WRF for SPC : WRF-NMM. Note that you can pass various arguments to the plot function, such as customizing the map and track aspects. time_to_move: the time (in minutes) to move a nest. Write better code with AI Security. S. WRF 15-Day Forecasts. Feb 6, 2020 · (a–c) TC tracks, (d–f) minimum sea level pressure and (g–i) maximum surface wind speed from the WRF control experiments (red curve) and TC best track data from CMA (blue curve and HKO (black Mesoscale models for the United States include the NAM in various forms, the HRRR, several other WRF variants, and the Canadian RGEM and HRDPS. Colored symbols indicate the position of Irma at 1200 UTC 8 Jan 4, 2023 · The WRF-simulated tracks were used as input variables for training and testing the ANN using the best track and reanalysis data. 1 day ago · disclaimer: this information is provided as guidance. Oct 15, 2020 · 5. The AAMC-WRF outperformed Meso-NHM, also run in real-time at HKO, with mean error reduction up to 34 km or 24%. X. The modeled tracks are determined by locating the minimum in the mean sea level pressure at six-hour intervals within a radius of 300 km of the corresponding point Interactive world weather map. A Pacific storm will continue to bring gusty to high winds, hazardous seas, low elevation rain, and mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest through Friday. , size, intensity, structure) affect storm surge hazard, we focus here on TC track clusters be-cause track is a leading influence on surge prediction Dec 9, 2019 · The results of the coupled model simulations (Figure 1b) shifted to southwards compared with the uncoupled simulations (CONTROL) and moved closer to the observed storm positions during landfall. Sep 12, 2012 · Here discussed is the sensitivity of simulated typhoon track and intensity over the Northwest Pacific Ocean to different cumulus schemes. from publication: Using a WRF-ADCIRC Ensemble and Track Clustering to Investigate Storm Surge Hazards and Inundation Scenarios Associated with HWRF consists of multiple movable two-way interactive nested grids that follow the projected path of the storm. To obtain a reliable corrected result, the number of neurons in the ANN structure was optimized for TCs during 2006–2015, and the optimized ANN was verified for TCs from 2016–2018. , 2008) 6-h forecasts along with tropical storm relocation and centralization of the initial perturbations (Zhou et al. com | Powered by FOX 13 News and the FOX Network May 1, 2019 · (b) Best-track position according to CMA data (green line) and the position of Meranti simulated by WRF at 6-h intervals from 0000 UTC 10 Sep to 0000 UTC 15 Sep. Wind Speeds/MSLP Courtesy UCAR. There will be no WRF-based MOS guidance. ;***** ; ; JUN-18-2005 ; So-Young Ha (MMM/NCAR) ; SEP-01-2006 ; Slightly modified by Mary Haley to add some extra Atmosphere 2020, 11, 89 2 of 25 compared with the improvement of track simulation, the ability to improve typhoon precipitation and intensity simulations is very limited [3,4]. Best-track (simulated) values are shown as green (red) lines. 3(a) and (c)) and WRF-ROMS (Fig. Hurricane tracking, tropical models, and more storm coverage. WRF was run (configuration summarized in Table 1, as in the NSSL-WRF) for 15 February 2016 and 11 May 2014 with three-dimensional winds (u, v, and w) output every five minutes. Oct 1, 2018 · The track errors at every 12 h interval clearly indicate that the track of the storm is slightly better predicted with a cold start run than in cycle-1 and cycle-2 simulations (Fig. The model is customized with six different microphysical parameterization schemes along Aug 10, 2023 · The ERA5 dataset from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Foreceasts is the first global reanalysis to reach a horizontal resolution of 31 km and thus provides a unique opportunity to look at tropical cyclones (TC), and in particular at the 3D fields associated with observed TCs. Visit CGD The WRF-Hydro modeling system Clusters are labeled A-F for reference in the text. I would happy to help. (2000) and Huang et al. Aug 1, 2020 · This article investigates combining a WRF-ADCIRC ensemble with track clustering to evaluate how uncertainties in tropical cyclone–induced storm tide (surge + tide) predictions vary in space and time and to explore whether this method can help elucidate inundation hazard scenarios. Find and fix vulnerabilities A Significant Spring Storm Impacting the Central U. Typhoon (TY) Haiyan was one of the most intense and highly destructive tropical cyclones (TCs) to affect the Philippines. , 2010). Nov 20, 2024 · In this study, we present a database for North Atlantic ETC tracks and a Lagrangian-Derived Moisture Uptake Dataset, both of which are derived from dynamically downscaled ERA5 reanalysis data. The cyclone is Global models with imagery for the entire world include the ECMWF, GFS, ICON, CMC, NAVGEM, and their associated ensemble prediction systems. e. Jan 8, 2021 · Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4. ncl: Plots storm track data from Hurricane Isabel. The method is demonstrated for simulations of Hurricane Irma 4. Feb 24, 2021 · Evidence is also mounting that the influence of mesoscale SSTs can extend beyond the atmospheric boundary layer, affecting extratropical cyclones (ECs) and midlatitude storm tracks at far distance TC track clustering methodology on an atmospheric ensemble and extend it to explore the resulting clus-ters in surge hazard space. The following examples will show how to retrieve 3 different data types. Advanced weather & chasing What Is the WRF? Thread starter rdale; Start date Jun 11, 2006; rdale EF5. F. Oct 11, 2023 · With a pair of high-resolution (HR, 10 km ocean and 25 km atm) and low-resolution (LR, 100 km ocean and 100 km atm) Community Earth System Model (CESM) simulations, we investigate and compare the long-term mean Northern Hemisphere (NH) wintertime storm tracks against reanalysis data. May 1, 2023 · This study aims to compare the performance of a DELFT-3D FM storm surge model forced with inputs from IMD (India Meteorological Department) observed the best track and pressure drop (EXP-1) and wind and pressure fields from WRF (EXP-2) for Tropical Cyclone Vayu, which occurred in the southern Arabian Sea basin in June 2019. Liao, et al. Particularly pronounced in the Southern Ocean… WRF model code contains an initialization program for either real-data (real. In this study, we simulate a tropical cyclone to reproduce the track direction and strength of the storm that formed at low latitudes in the West Pacific Ocean. exe), a numerical integration program (wrf. com) if you have any questions. Different Oct 15, 2022 · Model-simulated storm tracks as signified by the location of the minimum MSLP centre, along with the IMD and JTWC estimated best tracks, are shown in Fig. Although many TC prop-erties (e. Latest Storm Track Forecast: US Navy (JTWC), HongKong, Japan JMA, Philippines, Taiwan, TSR-Pacific, TSR-Indian, Vietnam NCHMF. 5 days ago · Example of GFS track trends for an invest in the East Pacific This site has storm specific data, including track and intensity, for tropical cyclones globally. To further demonstrate this, the latitudinal positions of all forecast TC centers are varied by ±1. The February case was chosen to represent a southeast cool-season event with high wind shear and low instability. Through another major upgrade in December 2015, the GEFS initial perturbations were chosen from the operational hybrid Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) 80-member Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF; Whitaker et al. Verification results comparing the operational GFS and Eta MOS guidance to Eta-based MOS equations applied to WRF model output are available at Aug 1, 2017 · As a result of these circumstances, the storm track's position is affected, causing a minor deviation in the track's location [53]. Jun 17, 2024 · This instance of Storm contains several methods that return the storm data back in different data types. Please feel free to contact Xia Sun (emsunxia@gmail. com. WRF-ARW. Just grab the fastest machine close to you with 512-1GB RAM and try it for Aug 15, 2024 · Findings from these studies pointed out the discrepancy in the simulated storm intensity, frequency, track and precipitation in various cumulus schemes. Sep 1, 2022 · After generating the TC genesis, track model and intensity model are employed to simulate the evolution of a typhoon process at a time interval of 6 h, and filling rate model is applied when the typhoon making a landfall. J. In addition to the cumulus scheme, the shortwave radiation and Jul 22, 2016 · where R is the Earth radius (i. it requires interpretation by hurricane specialists and should not be considered as a final product. Mar 1, 2004 · Applying the Eta-based MOS equations to output from the WRF model has produced less accurate guidance. WRF_track_1. Nov 1, 2014 · Abstract Identifying the center of a tropical cyclone in a high-resolution model simulation has a number of operational and research applications, including constructing a track, calculating azimuthal means and perturbations, and diagnosing vortex tilt. Model Storm Invests Courtesy Clark Evans (UWM) Nov 28, 2014 · The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model’s Advanced Research WRF (ARW) dynamic solver is one of the most popular regional numerical weather prediction models being used by operational and research personnel. 0 ∘ north and south from the best track data points. That being said, you can plot more detailed storm tracks using this method over the 2nd. WRF Storm Track (WRF1, WRF2) WRF Storm Precipitation (WRF1, WRF2) Tsunami Warning: JMA (Japan), PTWC (USA) South China Sea May 1, 2018 · Tropical Storm Tokage (2016), which was named Marce in the Philippines, is an illustration of the track forecast challenges associated with an abrupt change in direction on 26 November (Fig. This site is designed to give creativity and control to the forecaster so that imagery is weather feature-based rather than relying on predefined geographic maps. 12 b). After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. In addition, the study found SRH (Storm Relative Helicity) is a measure of the potential for cyclonic updraft rotation in right-moving supercells, and is calculated for the lowest 1-km and 3-km layers above ground level. Kain, A. 4 typhoons made landfall on China mainland in 2011 are simulated. Mesoscale models for the United States include the NAM in various forms, the HRRR, several other WRF variants, and the Canadian RGEM and HRDPS. Although the computer May 13, 2020 · Tracks of Hurricane Irma from the WRF ensemble initialized at (a) 1200 UTC 5 Sep and (b) 1200 UTC 8 Sep along with the best track (red). exe). Mar 1, 2020 · Out of 21 named TCs over SCS and WNP, mean positional errors of the AAMC-WRF are 33 km (T+0), 63 km (T+24), and 107 km (T+48) based on 209, 178 and 142 forecasts. Sun, Q. 0) with ARW core with respect to track and intensity to determine an optimal combination of these physical schemes. Clark CGD scientists take the long view, which includes studying which regions of Earth may become wetter or drier, how quickly sea levels will rise, and how storm tracks may change. II: 8 columns: Date of the latest revision. The results from the 20 typhoon cases during 2003–2008 show that the simulation of typhoon track and intensity are very sensitive to cumulus schemes. View LIVE satellite images, rain radar, forecast maps of wind, temperature for your location. 2019 Halloween Storm; 6. 10). ARTICLE HISTORY Received 7 June 2021 Accepted 22 October 2021 KEYWORDS Storm surge forecast; typhoon track; maximum storm surge height; peak time of storm surge 1. Nov 15, 2021 · The impact of typhoon tracks on storm surges is greater in inner bays than in bays facing the open ocean. , 2017: Impact of initial storm intensity and size on the simulation of PAGASA would like to inform and caution the public of unauthorized individuals posing to be officials of the agency soliciting money for a foundation. SPC SREF. Track hurricanes, cyclones, storms. 7. As noted in the figure, Hagibis had a return track just before landfall at about 250 km East of southern Vietnam on 24 November at 12 UTC. (c) MSLP (solid lines) and maximum sustained 10-m wind (dashed lines) from 0000 UTC 10 Sep to 0000 UTC 15 Sep 2016. The simulated storm surge showed an overestimation near the Gujarat coastline, which could be attributed to errors in the eye location of the simulated storm compared to observations. to_dataframe Visualize Michael's observed track with the plot function: Storm names, ‘(-)n’ denotes sub-center and its number. As such, it is regarded as a baseline for extreme TC hazards. exe), and a program for tropical storm bogussing (tc. " Next paragraph down, I read, "The RUC will be discontinued in 2007 and replaced with the WRF Rapid Refresh. This averaged wind represents the mean radial component of the steering flow convective updrafts encounter, which helps explain some of the updraft track behaviors. And the forecast output is compared with the observed data every 3 hr interval for the evaluation. Snow will then push into the northern Rockies on Saturday. Key words: tropical cyclone size, subtropical high, tropical cyclone track, WRF model Citation: Wang, Y. A significant late-season winter storm will bring an expanding area of heavy snow, sleet, and freezing rain to the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. 6371 km), and (λ o, ϕ o) and (λ f, ϕ f) are the co ordinates of the observation and the model forecast in radians, respectively. Oct 26, 2020 · Performances of the Model for Prediction Across Scales-Atmosphere (MPAS-A) in predicting and the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclone (TC) tracks and intensities have been compared. 1. • Storm tracks and trends can be generated at any spatial scale, for any data fields Near-surface NSSL-WRF Storm Features Correia, Jr, J. The results of global model are compared with the regional model with same model setting. The detailed procedure of the full track simulation framework can refer to the Vickery et al. To that end, a specifically calibrated TC tracking scheme is applied on ERA5 along with a track pairing On October 25, 1921, the Tampa Bay Area suffered the most destructive hurricane to hit the area since 1848. This can also be done from a TrackDataset object, using the plot_storm() method. Dec 17, 2021 · This repository includes NCL scripts that can be used to post-processing WRF outs, including but not limited to spatial plots, write WRF outputs to csv files, and time-height plots. to_xarray storm. Of course the support is limited, but you can play with WRF on your Windows 2000/XP. Joined Mar 1, 2004 Messages 7,562 . Sep 1, 2021 · The identification and tracking code breaks down into three parts: 1) building the interface that is able to read in WRF gridded reflectivity, 2) modifying the TiNT tracking code such to interact with the WRF 4-km hourly, simulated, and single-level radar data, and 3) integrating the WRF gridded atmospheric information (e. , Y. Sep 1, 2024 · The WRF-DELFT setup simulations provided a more realistic distribution of winds and pressure than the IMD track information. nitlguwug pdpsarna flijl ntks nogmddq cicc qlf kluabr cwu dhw hal ehhdy icln ssgxkhh tbugpd